Foreseeing IPv6 deployment

(Or at least trying to !)

IPv6 momentum: a story of pool and poules[*]

This is part of my series on [http://v3.tronche.com/section/ipv6/foreseeing-ipv6-deployment (Trying to) foresee IPv6 deployment]. Can we identify populations of IPv6 users such as IPv6 adoption logically follows from one population to the next ? [*]poule = the french for chicken, and IPv6 is a chicken-and-egg problem, like the introduction of many new technologies where you need several components for the cocktail to ignite. IPv6 has no business case, except business continuity. There are additional costs, and no additional revenues.

IPv6 and the Chinese student doing skype with grandpa.

This is part of my series on [http://v3.tronche.com/section/ipv6/foreseeing-ipv6-deployment (Trying to) foresee IPv6 deployment]. The Chinese student doing Skype with her family is my paradigm for the first step in IPv6 propagation: getting pressure from China to student-gathering countries. I do think that exhaustion, in the sense of the first machines with ''only'' IPv6 because-there-is-no-other-choice, will be the customer of some Chinese ISP in the coming months or weeks.

IPv6: Big content vs important content

This is part of my series on (Trying to) foresee IPv6 deployment.

[Citation needed here] said that important content will still be available over IPv4 for many years. Well, in my opinion, it depends of what you call '''important'''. Certainly, gmail, facebook and their likes will be able to maintain their content available on the IPv4 cloud, based on the stocks of IPv4 addresses they already hold. In my opinion however, this leaves aside two classes of "important" content:

Is Google boosting IPv6 adoption ?

This is part of my series on [http://v3.tronche.com/section/ipv6/foreseeing-ipv6-deployment (Trying to) foresee IPv6 deployment]. Google is doing a lot of things for IPv6 adoption with its [http://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/ IPv6 program]. First, it brings credibility to IPv6. When Google talks, the world listens.

The unrolling of IPv6 (draft)

This is part of my series on [http://v3.tronche.com/section/ipv6/foreseeing-ipv6-deployment (Trying to) foresee IPv6 deployment]. IANA has exhausted its IPv4 pool. As I'm writing, this is only a matter of days before APNIC, the first RIR to be depleted, exhausts its own IPv4 supply. The question in the back of the mind of everybody working on the IPv4 to IPv6 transition (including myself) is: when and what will be the first IPv6 only machine connected to the Internet. By that, I don't mean some lab experiment where someone intentionally left an IPv6 with no IPv4 counter part.
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